I am really struggling with randomness said Lee Cronin; because I had an excellent argument with Joscha Bach about randomness, and he just said, “Randomness doesn’t give you free will. That’s insane because you’d just be random.” And I think he’s right at that level but I don’t think he is right on another level. And it’s not about randomness, it’s about constrained, I’m making this up as I go along, so making this up, constrained opportunity. So the novelty. What is novelty? This is what I think is a funny thing if you ever want to discuss AI. Why I think everyone’s gone AI mad is that they’re misunderstanding novelty. But let’s think about novelty. Yes. What is novelty? So I think novelty is a genuinely new configuration that is not predicted by the past and that you discover in the present. And that is truly different. Now, everyone says that. Some people say that novelty doesn’t exist. It’s always with precedent. I want to do experiments that show that that is not the case. And it goes back to a question you asked me a few moments ago, which is where is the factory?
Because I think the same mechanism that gives us a factory gives us novelty. And I think that is why I’m so deeply hung up on time. Of course, I’m wrong, but how wrong? And I think that life opens up that combinatorial space in a way that our current laws of physics, although as contrived in a deterministic initial condition universe even with the get out of the multiverse, David Deutsch style, which I love by the way, but I don’t think is correct, but it’s really beautiful. David Deutsche’s conception of the multiverse is given. But I think that the problem with wave-particle duality in quantum mechanics is not about the multiverse. It’s about understanding how determined the past is. I don’t just think that this is a discussion I was having with Sara about that, where she was like, “Oh, I think we’ve been debating this for a long time now, about how do we reconcile novelty determinism in determinism.” I think the universe is deterministic looking back in the past but undetermined going forward in the future. So I’m having my cake and eating it here. This is because I fundamentally don’t understand randomness, as Joscha told me or others told me. But if I adopt a new view now which the new view is the universe is just non-deterministic, I’d like to refine that and say the universe appears deterministic going back in the past but it’s undetermined going forward in the future. So how can we have a universe that has deterministically-looking rules that are non-determined, a universe that has deterministically-looking rules that are non-determined going into the future? It’s this breakdown in precision in the initial conditions, and we have to just stop using initial conditions and start looking at trajectories, and how the combinatorial space behaves in an expanding universe in time and space. Assembly theory helps us quantify the transition to biology, and biology appears to be novelty-mining because it’s making crazy stuff that is unique to Earth. Right? There are objects on Earth that are unique to Earth that will not be found anywhere else because you can do combinatorial math.
Because I think the same mechanism that gives us a factory gives us novelty. And I think that is why I’m so deeply hung up on time. Of course, I’m wrong, but how wrong? And I think that life opens up that combinatorial space in a way that our current laws of physics, although as contrived in a deterministic initial condition universe even with the get out of the multiverse, David Deutsch style, which I love by the way, but I don’t think is correct, but it’s really beautiful. David Deutsche’s conception of the multiverse is given. But I think that the problem with wave-particle duality in quantum mechanics is not about the multiverse. It’s about understanding how determined the past is. I don’t just think that this is a discussion I was having with Sara about that, where she was like, “Oh, I think we’ve been debating this for a long time now, about how do we reconcile novelty determinism in determinism.” I think the universe is deterministic looking back in the past but undetermined going forward in the future. So I’m having my cake and eating it here. This is because I fundamentally don’t understand randomness, as Joscha told me or others told me. But if I adopt a new view now which the new view is the universe is just non-deterministic, I’d like to refine that and say the universe appears deterministic going back in the past but it’s undetermined going forward in the future. So how can we have a universe that has deterministically-looking rules that are non-determined, a universe that has deterministically-looking rules that are non-determined going into the future? It’s this breakdown in precision in the initial conditions, and we have to just stop using initial conditions and start looking at trajectories, and how the combinatorial space behaves in an expanding universe in time and space. Assembly theory helps us quantify the transition to biology, and biology appears to be novelty-mining because it’s making crazy stuff that is unique to Earth. Right? There are objects on Earth that are unique to Earth that will not be found anywhere else because you can do combinatorial math.
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